Zuckerberg: Facebook Will Have A Business Plan In Three Years
If you've had a nagging suspicion that Mark Zuckerberg really doesn't know how he'll turn Facebook into a business, wonder no more. You're right. Here he is talking to German newspaper Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung:
What every great internet company has done is to figure out a way to make money that has to match to what they are doing on the site. I don't think social networks can be monetized in the same way that search did. But on both sites people find information valuable. I'm pretty sure that we will find an analogous business model. But we are experimenting already. One group is very focused on targeting; another part is focused on social recommendation from your friends. In three years from now we have to figure out what the optimum model is. But that is not our primary focus today.
If you're counting, three years from now would be nearly 7 years since Mark (and others) started Facebook at Harvard, and four years since Microsoft plowed $240 million into the company.
We know the retort here: What about Google? They didn't figure out money for years, and look at them now! And we think that's a reasonable answer -- if you really think Facebook will end up as a Google-sized business. But if Facebook ends up being something less than that -- say, a big and popular Website, but not a world-changing business that throws off billions a dollars a year and disrupts multiple industries -- then Mark's backers may end up wondering why they didn't push him to figure that sooner than later.
We do wonder a tiny bit about translation issues here -- in parts of the Q&A, Mark sounds a little Col. Klink-like -- so we're hoping people get a chance to go over this with him again tomorrow at the Future of Web Apps conference in London. In the meantime, though, take some time to read the German paper's interview with him, which from what we can tell is one of the more informative Q&As he's done. A few more highlights:
FAZ: Can you please describe your cooperation with Sheryl Sandberg?
Mark Zuckerberg: She is an excellent manager. She is very good in building our international organization. I'm focused on the direction of the company, especially of the product development, and the overall strategy. I spend a lot of time working with engineers and product developers. We work together hand in hand.
FAZ: Who is the boss?
Mark Zuckerberg: Me!
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www.twitter.com/A_F
Mark Zuckerberg: Yes, but we can consider to work with someone else in other countries. "
Ouch!
I can see her now walking around the office looking at her shoes as she sways back and forth "I'm an excellent manager...I'm an excellent manager...I'm an excellent manager...I'm an excellent manager"
Right out of a scene from Rain Man..
> Mark Zuckerberg: Me!
Hahhahaha... anyone believe this?! If he really is a boss, no wonder FB is gonna be in so much trouble!
3 years is too long, but they have some time, they are still getting nice traffic growth.
This is rich..outside of Google, can you tell me any other company that monetizes online media to the extent that Yahoo does? For all the crap that is thrown at Yahoo (justified to some extent), it is still a pretty big sized dollar generating entity. A mature one, but a profitable one as well.
I agree. I would never even visit a Facebook page because I hate that smug prick.
He is a complete charlatan. He was in the right place, right time - and not only that he ripped off a bunch of people at Harvard to get there.
It's absolutely amazing people treat him as some kind of visionary and compare Facebook to Google. ummm, not quite. try comparing facebook to Altavista instead...
What a loser. F him...
sure, they haven't figured out monetization yet -- um, yeah i wrote that post almost a year ago: http://500hats.typepad.com/500blogs/2008/01/facebooks-real.html -- but then again, how many people can say they built a top 10 global internet site in just a few years that's generating hundreds of millions in revenue annually?
except for the last round of investors (and Microsoft shouldn't really count, since they were buying a seat at the Web 2.0 table, not just shares), most people holding FB preferred stock are Pretty F'ing Happy Campers, and employees hired before the last round have common stock that is very much in the money.
don't have a business plan? well, ok... selling hundreds of millions of display ads on crappy inventory probably isn't an AWESOME plan, but it doesn't suck that bad either.
sorry, mark's right & you're not. they've got some time to figure it out. when they stop growing, then they need to flip the switch on revenue optimization.
if they don't find a way to be generating quite a bit of free cash flow in the next few years, count me as surprised.
Sometimes I wonder if start-ups w/o business plan just live off VC's cash and don't care what happen afterward and then start another one live off cash again and so on.
Thanks for the reflection.
TV1Turtle
Facebook is such a waste of resources. I'm surprised it hasn't been replaced already.
Likewise, Internet advertising will never work, because I saw a pop up once in 1998, and it was annoying. PCs will never become popular, because people don't want their office machine in their home. And who needs a mobile phone, other than Wall Street investors who can't bear to miss market news while playing golf, circa 1989?
Get with the programme guys. If your mobile phone ran out of battery, it didn't mean mobile would never make anyone money. If your email address is flooded with spam, it doesn't mean email is dead. And if your Facebook friends still have nothing better to do than throw sheep/play zombie games/use pointless applications... well, it's not necessarily a problem with Facebook...
Users aren't looking for a business plan- they are looking for ways to communicate with their friends. Same as they always did, same as they always will.
Even if they eventuall have a business model, the real challenge is coming after its miraculous arrival. It needs to be constantly adjusted, re-invented, and the product needs to be customized for those who pay. This means the 3 years until the model is there are essentially wasted time.
Of course it's possible that facebook will eventually evolve as a real business, and I wish them well. I like the site, and I use it daily.
http://www.techsoomer.com/2008/10/is-money-power-myspace-vs-facebook/
640-801 on the other hand
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