Why Time Warner Cable's Pay-Per-Use Internet Experiment Will Fail
Time Warner Cable's (TWC) long-rumored Beaumont, Texas experiment -- giving new cable modem subscribers a bandwidth allowance and charging for overages -- begins this week, the AP reports.
Time Warner's tiers will range from $29.95 a month for relatively slow service at 768 kilobits per second and a 5-gigabyte monthly cap to $54.90 per month for fast downloads at 15 megabits per second and a 40-gigabyte cap.
Uploads and downloads will count toward their quotas, and subscribers will have a two-month grace period to figure out how much bandwidth they're using before getting charged extra. Overages will cost $1 per gigabyte.
Our first reaction: Are these typos? Those caps are tiny, and this is not going to work.
For instance, downloading just five movies a month from Apple's (AAPL) iTunes store would go over the 5-gig cap on the "cheap" subscription. Want to rent another movie? That'll be another $1 on top of what you're paying Apple. Even 40 gigs a month for the "fast" service isn't that much bandwidth in the era of all-you-can-eat Netflix streaming and four-computer households.
These caps will look even sillier once hi-def Web video, which eats up even more bandwidth, becomes more commonplace. And if you're using a legitimate peer-to-peer service like Joost, you could easily increase your consumption by uploading while you're downloading. (For more examples, see this post.)
Also confusing: Time Warner Cable is the lone major U.S. Internet provider to support Fon, a Google-backed (GOOG) startup that encourages you to share your Internet connection with strangers. Does TWC expect you to pay for what other people are downloading on your shared connection? Or if your neighbor (or someone less familiar) hops onto your wireless connection without your permission, can you request a refund?
As growth slows in the cable industry, and competition from phone companies heats up, we expect cable carriers to look for new pricing models, including pay-per-use Internet service. But we don't think Time Warner Cable has thought this one through. These caps are impractical, and any serious Internet user -- or someone who might be become one, someday -- should run away screaming to the nearest competitor. (Meanwhile, Comcast's proposed 250-gig limit makes much more sense.)
See Also:
Time Warner Cable: Download Hogs Could Pay More
How TWC Can Make Pay-Per-Use Work Without Going To Hell
Does Comcast Want To Put Bandwidth Hogs On A Diet? Sounds Good To Us

What I suspect you will see with bandwidth limits is the carriers standing on the sidelines until they concede that they'll have to introduce them as well to "protect their infrastructure" and investment strategy. Before long, bandwidth caps will just be an accepted part of the broadband landscape.
Finally, consumers don't complain about higher broadband prices nor do many of them switch to another provider.
Pretty sure we agree that it's inevitable that 'all-you-can-eat' will die somehow. But these specific, tiny limits/laughable overage charges will not be the business model.
They need these high prices to try and control use of their network in any P2P type business.
FTTH networks will and are eating their lunch where they compete.
Jim
http://www.electronista.com/articles/08/05/30/time.warner.internet.tv/
Although, it could still be just a rumor... I'll stick with Comcast, as crappy as it is
More importantly, this should be a wake-up call to the Internet to work on bandwidth conservation.
The simple fact of the matter is that most web pages, e-mails, Net protocols, etc. were never designed to minimize bandwidth use and promote efficiency. ASCII text, lots of white space, fat graphics and the like all add up over time.
Instead, let's work on slimming down Net content. Make use of compression, efficient binary encodings such as ASN.1, decluttering web pages, etc. The bandwidth you save may be your own...
Ya, definitely. But that only works if you don't live in a regional monopoly area.
Also, I agree with the statement that there is not really true competition out there. For example, I'm stuck with my local Comcast monopoly (which actually has great speed) and my only alternatives are DSL or satellite - not true alternatives in terms of bandwidth or the other "junk" you need to buy/install to make them work.
Upgrading the system is difficult, because DOCSIS 3 only very recently even finished its documentation, and TWC will soon get hit with a massive debtload, courtesy of splitting from TWX.
It only works for the major pricing tiers (home use, business use, etc.).
Hopefully TWC will give up this pricing model when they realize that it's not worth the accounting headache.
They've been advertising forever and it's still not available in my Brooklyn "hipster" neighborhood
I'm curious how this applies to TWC internet's other contracts? For example, my mom has a lifetime contract of an AOL Piggyback (TWC provides it but it's listed as AOL). I had Earthlink, which is set up by, provided by, and repaired by TWC, for a while, but that's another example of conflicting contracts.
I also tend to disagree that we're "destined" to go to this model when other things are rebounding again to flat fee (cell phone unlimited use plans, etc) and if they DO, you know that someone is going to come along with something that is still a value. Not to mention migration towards other technologies (fiber optic being more pervasive, satellite, etc.) would likely keep this as not an issue.
I was not only aghast at the caps, but at the speeds. What about people who work from home a lot via Terminal Services? That's a constant connection - how would that work?
It's too soon to draw anything as a foregone conclusion, though I'm certainly hoping for the unexpected and unknown, but better, alternative.
Seriously, the overage pricing specifics are meaningless, they will come down over time. But tiered pricing is going to happen. If marginal cost is > 0, then marginal pricing must be also. I don't care what the competitive position is.
Or the lack of one, which is almost certainly the case here. You don't think TWC is stupid enough to trial this where there's actual competition, do you?
FIOS has been on tiered pricing all along, and while not in many markets there must be some usage profiles and data by now.
Someone knows the customer and provider experience with this - what is it ?
The wireless companies gave us unlimited voice as soon as we got hooked on texting and other media apps that had new usage-based prices even higher than the old voice prices. Same thing here.
But then, FIOS is verizon, is a wireless company.
How can internet access be charged as electricity? It is not design for that and the principle of internet is Communication. I don't think you can communicate with your neighbor using your microwave or your hairdryer.
But then, even if they decide to go on that direction, what about the bandwidth that is used without the customers knowing anything about it. That is, what about Anti-virus software, what about Spam and Junk emails, what about spyware and malware, what about browser plugins like Google and Microsoft toolbars and not to mention other toolbars. Every application installed now-a-day on computers uses bandwidth to comunicate with the company servers. So does Microsoft and all applications that requires activation.
Why is the customer going to be responsible for the bandwidth that all the above consume? I think that this is not fair but if it happens be assure that the Cable companies will end up in some big Class Lawsuit for sure.
How can internet access be charged as electricity? It is not design for that and the principle of internet is Communication. I don't think you can communicate with your neighbor using your microwave or your hairdryer.
But then, even if they decide to go on that direction, what about the bandwidth that is used without the customers knowing anything about it. That is, what about Anti-virus software, what about Spam and Junk emails, what about spyware and malware, what about browser plugins like Google and Microsoft toolbars and not to mention other toolbars. Every application installed now-a-day on computers uses bandwidth to comunicate with the company servers. So does Microsoft and all applications that requires activation.
Why is the customer going to be responsible for the bandwidth that all the above consume? I think that this is not fair but if it happens be assure that the Cable companies will end up in some big Class Lawsuit for sure.
How can internet access be charged as electricity? It is not design for that and the principle of internet is Communication. I don't think you can communicate with your neighbor using your microwave or your hairdryer.
But then, even if they decide to go on that direction, what about the bandwidth that is used without the customers knowing anything about it. That is, what about Anti-virus software, what about Spam and Junk emails, what about spyware and malware, what about browser plugins like Google and Microsoft toolbars and not to mention other toolbars. Every application installed now-a-day on computers uses bandwidth to comunicate with the company servers. So does Microsoft and all applications that requires activation.
Why is the customer going to be responsible for the bandwidth that all the above consume? I think that this is not fair but if it happens be assure that the Cable companies will end up in some big Class Lawsuit for sure.
You asked: "I'm curious how this applies to TWC internet's other contracts? For example, my mom has a lifetime contract of an AOL Piggyback (TWC provides it but it's listed as AOL). I had Earthlink, which is set up by, provided by, and repaired by TWC, for a while, but that's another example of conflicting contracts."
Your mom most likely uses Time Warner cable and gets an additional monthly charge for AOL BYOA (Bring Your Own Access). She's paying anywhere from $4.95-$16.95 a month just to use the AOL software, whch is *not* needed in order for her TW cable connection to work.
Mom can drop AOL's BYOA monthly charge and download and use the AOL sofware for free (and she's been able to do that since Aug. 2006). See this page for more details. Mom is just wasting her money.
And you are most likely with Brighthouse? In my area Brighthouse offers just two ISPs: Earthlink and Time Warner Cable. That's it. If you chose Earthlink Time Warner may have the contract with Brighthouse to service and repair your connection, but support requests still have to be filed with Earthlink to get anyone out to your house to make the repairs. It doesn't make any sense- but it seems Earthlink just does online tech support, while TW contracts for the actual house calls- or contracts the house calls out (seriously, some guys from a temp agency- I'm not kidding - a temp agency - which was contracted by Brighthouse directly) set up my TW connection months ago. Being with Brighthouse is like being in the Twilight Zone: you're never sure who's doing what for who or why.
Personally, we're (fortunately) on a cable plan (only available in two cities!) with 5G of traffic per month and 4M/2M bandwidth for $NZ35 per month (part of triple play package). We've only busted the limit once and received an e-mail at 80% of our usage.
Now mobile usage, that's crippled even worse! I have 3M (that's right 3MB) of usage as part of my UMTS subscription for $NZ12 per month! 3G per month would cost me NZ$80 per month!
The DSL plans that most people are on (no option other than UMTS are arond $NZ50 for 5-6G of traffic per month with no performance guarentee "as fast as your line will go" is as good as it gets!
Oh yeah remember at&t said google is getting a free ride on there pipes.
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