Icahn to Yahoo Chair: You're The Liar, Roy--And Here's My Plan

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carlicahn.jpgCarl Icahn accuses Yahoo (YHOO) Chairman Roy Bostock of incompetence and dishonesty. More importantly, for the first time, he provides specific details about what he will do with Yahoo if he gains control over it.

The articulation of this plan is clearly designed to address concerns (such as ours) that Carl has no plan (see: : "Sorry, Carl, We're Not Voting For Your Proxy Slate"). It is also designed to test the waters with Microsoft and Yahoo shareholders.

Carl's 5 Point Plan:

  • Scrap severance "poison pill." [old news]
  • Fire Jerry, hire real CEO. [old news]
  • Tell Microsoft there will be no "alternative deal"--i.e., no sale of the search business. This is new.
  • Offer to sell Yahoo to Microsoft for $34.75.
  • If Microsoft says "No," do a search deal with Google.

Lastly, Carl tells Roy to offer the company publicly to Microsoft for $34.75.

CONCLUSION

Carl is running out of bullets. The clear articulation of a plan is good, but we still doubt we will vote for his slate if it comes to that. If Carl takes control and fires Jerry, Microsoft will have no incentive to pay $33+. Carl's use of a Google search threat as a club is smart, but Yahoo's already doing that now, and it doesn't seem to be working. Bottom line, other than "publicly offering the company to Microsoft"--which we feel Yahoo has already done--there's not much new here.

See Also:
Sorry, Carl Icahn, We're Not Voting For Your Yahoo Director Slate
Carl Icahn: I Talk To Yahoo Management, And They Drive Me Nuts
Icahn Calls Yahoo "Deceitful," Demands Yang Rescind $2.4B Severance Bonus Plan

LETTER

Dear Roy:

While you may take issue with the content of my letter, I take issue with your oversight of Yahoo! Again, I stand by my characterization of your "poison pill" severance plan and I find it humorous to see you attempt to defend it.

Roy, it is you who "misrepresents and misstates the details" of the plan. Much like the rhetoric in many well known political campaigns, you keep repeating misstatements in the hopes that by repeating misstatements enough times it will convince your shareholders that these misstatements are valid. For example, you repeated, "the plan was fully disclosed at the time of its adoption and should be no surprise to anyone at this point." This is simply not true. The egregious magnitude of the dollar amount cost of the plan was never fully disclosed, nor was the email from your compensation advisor calling the plan "nuts."

While you keep repeating that the severance plan was in the "best interests of shareholders," you neglect to mention that the financial cost of the plan could be immense. The documents obtained during discovery and released in the shareholder complaint show that Yahoo! estimates the maximum change in control severance expenses to be a staggering $2.4 billion if Microsoft bids $35 per share for Yahoo! You neglected to mention that the true cost to an acquirer may be even higher as the perverse change in control severance incentives may diminish the work effort of Yahoo! employees. In case you do not understand the plan, in addition to the $2.4 billion of severance expenses, I believe the plan will negatively impact employee behavior and degrade the ability of an acquirer to successfully integrate the acquisition. In the event of a change of control, the employee may decide not to work as hard in the hopes of cashing in on a robust severance package that awards up to two years salary and benefits, $15,000 of outplacement expenses, and accelerated vesting of stock options and restricted stock units. To make matters worse, it is not just the acquirer firing the employee that can trigger the severance package but the employee who may decide on his or her own to resign for "good reason" at any point within two years of a change in control. It is quite obvious to me that this plan impacts the price an acquirer would pay. Is it any wonder than an acquirer, once fully comprehending this plan, might not wish to negotiate any further? I again call upon you to honor your fiduciary duty to your shareholders and rescind this "poison pill" severance plan.

You asked, "what exactly would happen to our Company if you and your nominees were to take control of Yahoo!" I will give you my perspective on that.

-- First, I would work to have the board replace your "poison pill" severance plan with an acceptable alternative.

-- Second, I intend to ask our new board to hire a talented and experienced CEO (attempting to replicate Google's success with Eric Schmidt) to replace Jerry Yang and return Jerry to his role as "Chief Yahoo." Indeed, it was much speculated that Jerry would serve in the CEO role temporarily until a permanent CEO was hired after the board asked Terry Semel to resign.

-- Third, I intend to ask our new board to inform Microsoft that unless any alternative transaction can insure a $33 or higher stock price (of which I am skeptical) all talks of alternative transactions are over.

-- Fourth, I will ask our new board to offer publicly to sell Yahoo! to Microsoft in a friendly and cooperative transaction.

-- Fifth, to the extent Microsoft does not want to make a proposal, I will ask our new board do a deal on search with Google, but only if it contains termination provisions that would in no way impede a subsequent acquisition by Microsoft.

Now let me ask you a couple of questions, Roy:

-- Why don't you, now that you have the opportunity, remove the "poison pill" severance plan that I find to be ridiculous and thereby remove a major obstacle to a Microsoft acquisition?

-- In my opinion, Microsoft does not believe you will ever sell the entire company on a friendly basis. So why don't you stop dancing around the subject and publicly offer to sell the company to Microsoft for $34.375 per share and promise to cooperate completely?

-- Why are you still giving hope to Microsoft that there is a possible "alternative deal"? As long as there is the possibility of an "alternative deal," isn't it obvious that Microsoft will not make a bid for the whole company?

Sincerely yours,

CARL C. ICAHN



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43 Comments

G Man said:
WOW! I would like to ask Mr. Icahn, why he has not called Microsoft? You talk so much about what you would do if and when you take control but on CNBC you were asked if you have spoken to key players at Microsoft and you said you have not! This seems bizarre and a lot of smoke in the air!!

Fernando Alvarez said:
'-- Third, I intend to ask our new board to inform Microsoft that unless any alternative transaction can insure a $33 or higher stock price (of which I am skeptical) all talks of alternative transactions are over.


-- Fourth, I will ask our new board to offer publicly to sell Yahoo! to Microsoft in a friendly and cooperative transaction.'

There's no way Microsoft can pull this fourth one off without help. Yet this is what the shareholders want. We don't want our shares trading at $19 waiting for Yang and Co.


Fernando Alvarez said:
G Man, if Microsoft talks to Icahn it seems like a move on their part for a hostile takeover. They have to sit back and let it playout, get it?

Fernando Alvarez said:
Henry, What's taking the YHOO board so long is to figure out how to get the $33 value for YHOO without selling whole. If they can't pull it off they will promptly go ahead with a sale. I don't see any alternative than that and it is not in their best interest to wait for the annual meeting. It is obvious to me that Yang and co. realize that now although for some reason you don't.

Them winning the proxy fight and going ahead with their plan puts YHOO in the low twenties. No shareholder except maybe you and their employees will go for that.

Scott Johnson said:
Doesn't crazy Carl understand that if his slate takes control, the severance plan/poison pill gets triggered (at least the first trigger). I wouldn't think the board would be able to pull the plan at that point. Henry, thoughts?

Scott Johnson said:
Doesn't crazy Carl understand that if his slate takes control, the severance plan/poison pill gets triggered (at least the first trigger). I wouldn't think the board would be able to pull the plan at that point. Henry, thoughts?

hehateme said:
if you are microsoft and think yahoo is on life support why not wait until the stock crashes like BEAR STEARNS.buy it for $2 dollars a share and steal a company with still great assests but poor management!! microsoft!!!! LIKE DON KING SAYS "DON LET TIME USE YOU,YOU USE TIME"

frustrated said:
Kaiser Carl, loving every minute of it, he is not letting the Yahoo’s get away with any story spinning. Come on Bostock, on the severance "poison pill’ you look like an idiot (but what’s new?) it looks like a duck and quacks like a duck but Bostock insists it is not a duck. Did you not learn your lesson when you came out and said that you and the board had major stock holders applauding your actions and then when asked to produce said backers your answer was well opppsss errrr ahhhh. Spin Doctor its over!
Carl keep the heat on and I will be putting all of my shares behind you.

MuffMan said:
Bottom line for me is: Can Microsoft make money via search with Yahoo @ 33.ps?

That's the name of the game - of MSFT would rather pay less but with Google gaining everyday - this to me is their poison pill to swallow (if they want to compete in search ad).

Do a deal, compete & make money. Everyone's happy

Trevor Plantagenet said:
@Scott Pretty sure that a new board, in and of itself, doesn't trigger that sort of change of control provision, but Icahn would likely prefer to bully the current board into revoking it.

Jim said:
I agree with GMan, if Icahn is such a power player, talk to Microsoft directly. Microsoft has, to date, come out and said they're no longer considering an outright purchase of Yahoo and that, at most, they're only interested in Yahoo's search assets.

Moreover, it's been claimed by YHOO that there was never a $33 offer submitted by Microsoft. Smoke and mirrors on the part of Yahoo? Perhaps. But, I don't believe MSFT has ever come out publicly to contest this point.

MSFT would do well to wait until 2nd quarter earnings come out since chances are YHOO earnings will not meet expectations and offer a lower price. MSFT shareholders will likely be on board at a lower price and YHOO would be ripe for a hostile takeover. YHOO shareholders would be lining up to tender at $26-27. The only thing propping the stock up at current levels, IMHO, is the lingering prospect of some sort of deal anyway. Without this, the stock drops to low $20's.

With due respect to Carl ... he's over his head on YHOO. MSFT is gone and knows they could invest that 40B in GOOG and get a better return than bagging YHOO for $ 30.

Yesterday I said, "Also both Yang and Icahn, their public spat notwithstanding, seem to be on the same team in terms of objective - selling to MSFT in the mid-thirties, with valuation guarantee". I think today's letter from Icahn confirms this. It looks so much like a good cop / bad cop strategy.

YHOO is the bad cop, and its terms for MSFT deal are:
1. ~$37 negotiable, which means ~$35 with real valuation guarantees. They also have a severance package which is practically comparable to MSFT's offer of $1.5B in terms of cost, although Icahn unnecessarily makes a big deal out of it. No YHOO employee would vote for Icahn, if he keeps doing that, no matter how pissed they are with Yang.

Icahn is the good cop, and his terms for MSFT deal are:
1. ~$34.375, with a real valuation guarantee of ~$33 (note his statement on alternative deals with MSFT). He would like to take off the YHOO severance package, in order to entice MSFT to sign a deal and also allow it flexibility to design the package.

MSFT offer was about $33 with perhaps a valuation guarantee of ~$31 in case of a friendly deal. Considering the beating that its stock has taken since the announcement of the deal, anything more would be detrimental to its stock. I don't think its too concerned about the YHOO severance plan, since its plan was comparable and it is interested in retaining the employees. I didn't see Ballmer making a big deal of YHOO's plan in his letter when he walked.

Also Icahn is talking about just reverting Yang to the "chief Yahoo" role instead of firing him. The conciliatory tone from him indicates that he may be willing to negotiate with Yahoo to get 1 or 2 board positions and back off from the proxy contest. Even with one director, Icahn can facilitate a deal with MSFT by acting as a mediator and preventing any "shenanigans".

Most likely outcome: Icahn gets a board seat, MSFT waits till its stock improves to make any "full acuisition" offer, meanwhile YHOO and MSFT keep talking about "alternative offers". At some point if YHOO stock tanks too much, it signs up with GOOG, with support from Icahn and structure the deal in a way that it doesn't preclude a deal with MSFT.

Fernando Alvarez said:
Jim, I respect your opinion and Henry's but I think it's flawed. Its obvious that the stock is propped up because of a prospective deal. It was at $19 when the $33 bid became public. Remember they were willing to pay $40 last year and no one would have found out until the deal was announced. YHOO has an intrinsic value because of its users. Shareholders got fed up at that $19 price and there not going to sit on it. Hence the pressure to extract the value now. Add to that new stubborn shareholders that will not roll over and take it lying down and you have a recipe for action.

MSFT time is now. They are not going to start playing games and end up losing it. 'Penny wise and pound foolish.'

Fernando Alvarez said:
IMHO Rav has it down. To me it seems obvious.

usbworks said:
I listened to Icahn on Fast Money. The guy is unable to finish most of his sentences. He rambles on about downloading and technology. He comes across as a senile moron.

So now we have this brilliant new Icahn 5 step plan, which asks Microsoft to pay Yahoo shareholders the $1.375 saved by abolishing the severance plan. In other words, don't pay the money to keep the employees, give us the extra money.

Buying Yahoo without keeping its best talent is like buying a car without an engine. I don't think Microsoft is stupid.

Let's face it, Carl is holding a pair of 2's and bluffing like he's got a straight flush. I doubt that he even owns the original 10 million shares of Yahoo at this point.

Carl's real game plan is to sit on his call options and hope that all his yelling will force Yahoo to sell itself for something over $30. At the current prices his options are worthless.

I'll believe in Carl when he shuts up and starts buying up Yahoo shares (and I don't mean more call options).

Inspector said:
Go-go gadget Carl!

usbworks said:
I listened to Icahn on Fast Money. The guy is unable to finish most of his sentences. He rambles on about downloading and technology. He comes across as a senile moron.

So now we have this brilliant new Icahn 5 step plan, which asks Microsoft to pay Yahoo shareholders the $1.375 saved by abolishing the severance plan. In other words, don't pay the money to keep the employees, give us the extra money.

Buying Yahoo without keeping its best talent is like buying a car without an engine. I don't think Microsoft is stupid.

Let's face it, Carl is holding a pair of 2's and bluffing like he's got a straight flush. I doubt that he even owns the original 10 million shares of Yahoo at this point.

Carl's real game plan is to sit on his call options and hope that all his yelling will force Yahoo to sell itself for something over $30. At the current prices his options are worthless.

I'll believe in Carl when he shuts up and starts buying up Yahoo shares (and I don't mean more call options).

Scott K said:
Does nobody remember how Carl Icahn destroyed TWA?

Granted, TWA was an airline in trouble, but Icahn pillaged and burned what was left of them.

Now he wants to do the same thing to Yahoo, and people think that's a good idea? When are they going to realize that Icahn is ONLY in this to make money for himself. He could care less about Yahoo the company or it's employees.

Capitali$t said:
When Carl make $ I make &.

Go Carl.

Thomas said:
Do you think Ballmer is getting annoyed with Icahn? I mean at about this time, if I'm Stevie, I'm thinking I could probably get away with buying Yahoo! for my last best prices minus the cost of the severance plan. Now, at best, Ballmer has to wait for Yahoo!'s results to start crapping out before he can low-ball.

Fernando Alvarez said:
Get off these boards and get back to work yahoos....says Yang...





Fernando Alvarez said:
The coffee is a brewing....





fuggedaboutit said:
Sorry Carl, nobody wants to see another Microsoft monopoly. You're on the wrong side of right here, so just bugger off.

Brian W said:
Yahoo shouldn't be bullied by Carl Icahn or anyone else.

If Carl Icahn wants Microsoft so badly, he should buy Microsoft stock!

Doesn't anyone see what is happening? Independent media companies are being bought up lock stock and barrel.

Engage the brain for a moment (I know for some of you, like Carl Icahn, that's painful).

Imagine Yahoo under the thumb of huge conglomerate Microsoft. (Yes Microsoft is a conglomerate. They haven't been just a software company for years). Imagine every Yahoo news item, search process, and Yahoo property under Microsoft's control.

CNN? Owned by Big Media Inc. Fox News. Owned by Big Media Inc. Just like Yahoo will be if Yahoo gets gulped down by Microsoft.

Ray said:
There is so much overlap in the services offered by Yahoo and Microsoft that it never made sense to merge companies except for Yahoo's search business.

Microsoft + Yahoo = Big Mess?

Microsoft would have given the Yahoo employees in overlapping areas an opportunity to interview in other product groups in the company. In a lot of cases, that would have meant a move to Redmond.

Severance package or not, a lot of Yahoo employees would have left.

With MSFT's stock price so close to YHOO's recently, if Carl thinks MSFT can do better, he could have taken the loss on YHOO and moved into a similar number of shares of MSFT.

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