Ad Buyer: No Slowdown In Search Or Google
Another conflicting data point on Google's disastrous January: SearchIgnite, one of the largest buyers of search inventory from Google, says its clients saw a 40.1% y/y increase in paid clicks on Google in the beginning weeks of 2008.
SearchIgnite, a $200 million-per-year buyer of search advertising, said paid clicks grew 45.7% y/y on all major search engines from Jan. 1 to Feb. 15, led by retailers (up 65%) and non mortgage-related financial services, which appear to be shifting budgets to search in the face of a slowdown.
Google (GOOG) shares are getting hammered after a comScore report that showed paid clicks as flat in January, after turning in only 25% y/y growth in Q4, a quarter that disappointed Wall Street. But SearchIgnite says they aren't seeing a slowdown -- at least not among the large brand advertisers based in the U.S. that make the bulk of its client base, and not the small and medium-sized advertisers driving Google's falling click rates.
They are, however, seeing something else worrisome: SearchIgnite says it is seeing early signs of declining conversion rates, a looming problem for marketers down the road. Click-through rates fell to 3.6% from 4.2% the year before.
The data from SearchIgnite, a division of Innovation Interactive, is derived from 800 million impressions and 53 million clicks across major search engines Google, Yahoo (YHOO) and Microsoft's (MSFT) MSN.
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My thought is you still won't click if you can't buy, unless you're a "window shopper" even online. If more and more people hurt by the economy are merely browsing without sealing the deal, conversion rates will drop steeply, which leads me to ask...
Where is the actual data on conversion rates? I bet conversions take the biggest pounding of all if indeed it is the economic downturn causing CT rate declines.
I don't see any of the activities you mentioned in your post generating any profit for GOOG. Nobody is denying GOOG's popularity, but many are questioning its profitability in a weaker economy.
In your second to last paragraph, you say that SearchIgnite says that CTR fell to 3.6% from 4.2% and that that means that conversion growth has slowed - conversions are always measured after the click - i.e. filling out a form, placing an order, etc. Conversion rate therefore is usually formulated by taking the number of actions (that the advertiser defines) and dividing it by the number of clicks.
I've been following this ever since the ComScore report came out, and I believe that the tweaks that Google made to their ad units (now a click only registers if a user clicks on the actual text - not the space around it) is what caused the decreased CTR.
Obviously the downturn has had some effect on advertiser spending overall, but do you believe that economic factors would factor into users clicking (or in this case, NOT clicking as much)?