Yes, Yahoo Cuts Coming. How Many? (YHOO)

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cleaver.jpgNow that even the most stubbornly optimistic Yahoos have had time to digest Jerry Yang's "shape up" memo, layoff rumors are in full swing. The most pessimistic prediction we've heard so far, from an anonymous tipster: 3,500 heads will roll. Plausible?

No, not really. While our Henry Blodget has called on Yahoo to can 3,018 people (that's more than 20% of the workforce), the odds that Yahoo will make cuts on that scale are very low, we're told by people familiar with the company's thinking. But we're also told that another round of layoffs are indeed on the drawing board, prompted by a grim financial forecast.

Q3 results, which will be released in three weeks, should be fine, say people familiar with the company's performance. But the online ad market was already pulling up prior to Wall Street's collapse over the last few weeks, so Q4 and beyond could be scary.

So how many heads will roll? We won't a hazard a guess - yet. But we're happy to hear what you think. Sound off in comments, or if you want to stay anonymous, use our tip box.

See Also: Yahoo Fat Farm: How Many People Does Yahoo Need To Fire?
Yahoo Fat Farm Spreadsheet
Jerry To Yahoos: Get Ready To Get Fired; I've Hired Bain



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36 Comments

geewhiz said:
A very very troubling period for Yahoo, one they will likely not fully recover from. This downturn may be their last to survive in their present form, especially now that they are trading at $16/share after rejecting $33/share. Sue and Jerry have failed miserably. They need to resign.

Hey Yahoo (ex)employees I have a question for you:

I had an acquaintance who got cut 7-8 months ago during that round of layoffs (happily employed elsewhere now). She mentioned that her Yahoo salary had a large component based on quarterly performance. When she got cut, Yahoo didn't pay her the previous quarter's performance bonus.

This sounded completely crazy and unethical to to. She was employed during the entire quarter but a company would't pay her?? I didn't believe it at the time but have heard similar stories from a couple others.

Can anyone confirm or deny this is how Yahoo operates?? Seems like a shitty way to save a few $.

clickbot said:
What yahoo really needs is a comprehensive energy plan.

$33 to $17 said:
Are Sue & her gal pals part of the cuts too?? *fingers crossed*

BTW, if there is value exceeding $30/share in YHOO let's see Sue convince her pal's Warren Buffett Berkshire to throw in a measly $100M in the company. At $17 this stock is a screaming buy!

She's been able to get a pass b/c she has his blessing, and she indeed may be intelligent, but she does not know the technology or advertising business. Do the honorable thing and move aside. Let someone else give it a hot. You're about to leave 1000s of people w/families without a job.

whimp said:
peter, Yahoo submitted a phoney 3 year plan (possible sec problem), over hired for the last 4 years, screwed up search, about to lay off 3k people, have no vision and screwed up the microsoft deal. Why aren't people calling for Jerry and Sue's head?

Earl said:
Hey Kafka. Aren't you supposed to be over at AllThingsD or were you able to pull your head out of your ass and see SAI is where it's at?? ;)

Nothing but love for PK!

4Whip (URL) said:
Here is the investor presentation. Those numbers look reasonable to me ;) More troubling is the fact institutional investors bough this crap.

What a bunch of unethical executives. How could you sign off on this?

http://www.scribd.com/doc/2304712/Yahoo-Investor-Presentation

stone said:
I've been calling for Sue Decker to resign for months. Sue and Terry ruined the company. Terry is gone. Sue needs to leave.

yahoo fear said:
There is no work getting done. People are just working on their resume. Maybe, we'd been better off had microsoft bought us.

dj said:
Relax yahoo fear, msft will be making an offer Nov.10

msft is back? said:
What is special about Nov 10? Why would Msft come back?

Alex Schleber (URL) said:
Dang, YHOO below 16.50 right now...

@yahoo fear - that was predictable absent strong leadership. I was really hoping for Jerry to jump into full-scale survival mode and ride on a wave of adrenalin from the MSFT negotiations.

For the record, I never thought that the MSFT deal as proposed was a good idea for either YHOO or MSFT, but as things currently stand, things are clearly working against Jerry: Economy and ad buys tanking, GOOG outsourcing deal in serious jeopardy (in part by the predictable campaign of MSFT against it), no clear plans for the future (not even hardly any *announcements*, for crying out loud).

So will MSFT now make an offer for say $22-25? Time is awasting for them as well, when it comes to competing with Google. Haven't heard anything of substance out of Ballmer who claimed YHOO puchase would have been just a "tactic". What is the strategy for MSFT going forward then, another prize gimmick a la Live Search Cashback?

Apparently: Live Search "Searchperks" coming your way... hunh?

I for sure thought they would have picked up Quil by now, simply for the technology infusion.

allen said:
i've heard on the street that yahoo tech ticker is going -- is there any truth to that rumor? i am guessing not.

Is it? Too bad. Boatloads of traffic...

jerry and sue are idiots!! said:
When are these morons going to get fired!! What the hell has to happen? Hmmm $33.00 dollars a share yeah that was a bad deal huh Jerry you idiot!! Where is the plan BOZO?
After what has happened to the share holders Yang needs to be put in the same cell as the guys from Adelphia Communications and Tyco. Where is the plan now Jerry? And quit hiding like a roach come out and get somthing done!

UhOh said:
under $16

Boatloads of Layoffs said:
Never watched TechTicker so I have no opinion but I thought we tried something like that once. What was that business thing we tried that failed? Somebody help me out here.

Timothy Rogers said:
Do the layoffs. Surprise everyone by cutting more than the estimate, not less. Get rid of Jerry and Sue. Yahoo should have sold at $33, admit that mistake to stockholders and anyone else that asks as Jerry and Sue exit out the back door. Get new leadership to manage the fat-free staff. Trim frivilous services. Pray.

Robin said:
@allen: Hope you're wrong. Tech Ticker and Yahoo! Finance are the only reasons I still use Yahoo.

Willville said:
@allen & henry: I heard that from someone I thought was quite a reliable source too. It can't be right, can it? The only growth in Media at the moment (triggered by the downturn) is in Business news like CNBC DOW etc. Who have all reported rises in revenue.

TechTicker must be incredibly cheap to produce (The GFX package looks like it was made in Windows ME) and as Henry correctly points out, it produces a truckload of traffic.
If this show is killed, It is a harsh testament to Wallstreet (who are already dismayed in Y exclamation point's attempt at a turnaround) that Yahoo is completely incapable of monetizing content.

If Yahoo! doesn't want a merger, it has to let go of about 1800 staff in all these weird divisions that seem to produce nothing. Recruit the laid-off sales staff from Quigo and Tacoma, slash pricing on pre-roll and display ads and swamp premium advertisers like Car Manufacturers and (govt. insured) banks with massive discounts and longer credit terms.
They're gonna need to be the Walmart of advertisers in this environment.
I wouldn't buy AOL at this point. There's too many problems at home. Let AOL implode on itself, then go and feed off the decaying carcass at a later date.
Only MS and a big long-term capital commitment can ensure a turn-around at AOL.

Short of a miracle I think Yahoo may not exist in the coming 4-5 years. It needs to figure out how to make content and monetize it Basically Yahoo needs to figure out how to be Yahoo.


MiddleMarketMillionaire said:
Henry, I hope TechTicker gets canceled; you can do much better on your own. Don't tarnish your brand by associating yourself with YHOO. Produce the video, post it here, and allow anyone to grab your shows and embed it where ever they may please.

Use one of the video platforms to insert ads every time your video plays, where ever it plays. CDN costs are plummeting. Video is the new hotness w/advertisers. This is the future. Big media doesn't get it. You deserve the control. It is Grade A content.

Monica said:
I work for Yahoo! and I don't know what group yahoofear is in, but I...correction...my whole team works their tail off. As do the groups we work along with.

Somehow Y! still manages to bring in a hearty profit and can't spend major advertiser's money fast enough.

A handful of questionable execs and a shitty stock price is hardly reason to throw in the towel.

I guess I'm mainly shocked that more people aren't rooting for Yahoo! to succeed and continue to make the marketplace competitive.

@Monica said:
Ya know you guys are digging your own grave by hooking up with Google, right??

Wait, your management is telling you they'll continue to "invest in search" long term. Oh sure!

Trust management. They know best. They're smart. Brilliantly dodging that evil MSFT company...bravo!

I hope you hire a few lifeguards b/c your options are drowning underwater.

Sumit said:
http://www.alleyinsider.com/2008/8/more-yahoo-cuts-coming-

If yahoo keeps on firing 20% in every quater then it will have all its employees fired by 5 quaters!!

With the popularity going on high in India this is really hard to think how 15$s will matter. Moreover with the recent scenario stock prices going down is no big deal! Stocks say, "Make hay while Sun Shines". U don't know what new Deal/Product/News is on the way...

The Bailout plan says "Expected the Unexpected!!"

See the Invisible Figures! Enjoy & Yahoooooooo!

sujit said:
Basis of such rumours must come out. Is the co is short of advertisements? If yes, by how much percentage? Is the co's balance sheet ticking downwards? If yes, by what percentage? Get the answers to these two simple questions before arriving in any conclusion.

Monica, yahoofear;

All my friends from yahoo already prepared their resumes and looking for job since the declined deal of MS merger. And it is so obvious that the current situation is not going well; the stock market is the number one proof. And i feel like the execs are so desperate; otherwise they would open their doors to hackers to bring innovation to Yahoo! am i right or not?

Anon said:
"Henry, I hope TechTicker gets canceled; you can do much better on your own. Don't tarnish your brand by associating yourself with YHOO. "

HAHA!! I think it's a few years too late for that, eh?

TechOne said:
@Sumit: After 5 layoffs of 20%, approximately 32.8% of the original workforce would remain.

@Monica: Yeah, our group is chugging along as well. I don't know who the slackers are the other guy is talking about, but I think I know where we can look at cutting 20%. I mean heck, they're not working and yet there's no difference? Perfect place to start.

@@Monica: Due to the nature of the deal, details of the contract between Google and Yahoo! are provided on a need-to-know basis. I suppose we can forgive your myopic response based on your ignorance of such details.

Bob said:
I still cannot figure out how a company's stock price reflects on the day to day operation of the company. Stocks are for the greedy. Otherwise why would a stock issued at $10 go for $700 .. it is nuts. This is not a financial amplifier for cryin' out loud.

For all of you yahoo share holders who bought the stock when it was first issued. You still have $6 up on your investment.

All of this mess is because people think they can get 30% rate of return on their investments. There is no magic formula that will churn these numbers for everyone all the time. When you make a profit someone else made a loss. So goes the game.

So here is an advice for all of you expecting a 30% rate of return. A 30% rate of return is called 'usury' and is immoral.

So essentially we have immoral people going after the stocks of companies that are immoral in the first place because they promise constant growth at the rate of 30% per year.

So here is my comment to all of you investors with 'greed' in your eyes. Serves you right if a few companies like yahoo take the toss. This will teach you that normal rates of return are usually only slightly better than what your bank pays you for a savings account.

All that investors in stocks have going for them is the greed of the person buying stocks off of you for a higher price. Remember that when the stocks go low someone else lost money and it will come back to you as a higher cost of something else.

To all investors that expect a 30% rate of return or near that figure. Suck it up!

Bob

Some Guy said:
I wonder how this affects Y!7 in Australia? They seem to be fairly independent of the parent company in the states.

gregg said:
It will be a 20% cut... 10% up front another 10% by the end of the year. Yahoo cannot avoid it. Jerry had a plan, his plan is a disaster. Receivables are slowing dramatically and will continue the slowdown. The big advertisers who don't grow business do not grow advertising. Simply having a portal that is outdated is old hat and not a money maker in the long run. Negotiating to include AOL with its own problems is stupid... and that is the option they are proposing.

In times of economic crisis, there is a shift to new leaders. The old tech companies that don't innovate prior and during these times are left behind by new more flexible organizations that have a new look and feel. Coming out of this crisis Yahoo will be a shadow of itself from the late 90's. It will still be around but much smaller, generating much less money and with half or less the number of employees.

myrtle (URL) said:
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porter (URL) said:
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corey (URL) said:
640-802 Yes, Yahoo Cuts Coming. How Many? (YHOO) Big deal? Stop pretending. I know you hate it. Stop pretending.

easter (URL) said:
What kind of talk is that? Some people never learn. 640-802 / EX0-100 / 646-363 / 642-453 / 642-061

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