New Hampshire "Change" Good for Country, Bad for Business

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Amid all the optimism about "change" in today's  primary, it's worth thinking about what the "change" will mean for business and Wall Street. Likely answer? Higher taxes, less free trade, and more regulation. 

Today's New Hampshire voters are choosing from the most anti-business field of candidates in recent memory. Not since the days of William Jennings Bryan and his raving diatribes against the "eastern monied classes" has political rhetoric been so hostile towards Wall Street and big business.

huckabee.jpg
"What's that, God? You don't believe in free trade? Me, neither!"

This time around it's not just the usual suspects.  In addition to John Edwards and his seething jeremiads against "corporate greed," at least one Republican candidate has found success by tapping into a burgeoning populist sentiment among middle and lower-income Republican voters.   Mike Huckabee says he wants to "...change the Republican Party," which in part means challenging the "Washington to Wall Street power axis."   (Huckabee's campaign has met with resistance from the party establishment, which fears that his proclivity for fomenting class warfare endangers the traditional Republican coalition of social and economic conservatism).

On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton, whose husband's administration had taken a relatively sunny view of both free trade and Corporate America, is now running as a market and free trade skeptic.  She has distanced herself from Bill's free trade policies and has instead embraced "fair trade" (whatever that is).  And while she still believes that markets are the "...driving force behind our prosperity," she insists that they shouldn't be allowed to "run roughshod over people's lives as well."

Meanwhile Barack Obama, Clinton's chief rival, has hopped onto the business-bashing bandwagon, lamenting that "You've got CEOs making more in 10 minutes than workers make in an entire year..." and decrying executives that "dump" employee pensions while "pocketing bonuses."  Obama has yet to articulate a specific and comprehensive economic policy, resorting instead to vague platitudes about corporate bogeymen. 

New Hampshire Republican front runner John McCain, meanwhile, would likely maintain the status quo, suggesting that he might support the extension of the Bush tax cuts.  His recent conversion to the cause of combating global warming, however, may mean a more prohibitive regulatory regime on carbon emissions and auto-standards (and in this arena, it's about time).  Also, in the most recent New Hampshire debate, McCain referred to drug companies as "the bad guys."

Republican candidates Mitt Romney, Fred Thompson, and Rudy Giuliani all have generally pro-business records.  But after a McCain victory in New Hampshire, they may be relegated to the sideline.  Meanwhile, growing income inequality and general economic uncertainty--for which big business and Wall Street are easy scapegoats--and a rising tide of economic populism will likely lead to more protectionism, higher taxes, and more regulation no matter who wins.


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Monique said:
I love New Hamshire its very beautiful. I ran away to New hampshire and had the time of my life. I love it!
Chris said:
I also do not want political talk on the site, but this is an analysis of the campaign that shows how the election might directly impact the market and the economy...I found it useful, thanks!
sitting across from ron paul guy said:
As a huge SAI supporter and fan (and Democrat) I think keeping the political commentary off-limits - irregardless of shared or opposed sentiment - is a good idea. I read plenty of politico-blogs and I don't come here for right-wing shrills.

This is a good way to lose readers - even me.
Jonathan Kennedy said:
"And how come an author who writes about politics and economy does not know what fair trade means?"

For clarification, I know exactly what "fair trade" means... or rather, what politicians are referring to when they say "fair trade." My point is that the term "fair trade" is so vague as to be banal and ultimately meaningless... since it can mean almost anything you want it to mean.

The other ridiculous thing about the concept is that it implicitly suggests that free trade ISN'T
fair... which is a supposition which I believe to be false. Its like saying that the price for a movie ticket isn't "fair." Well guess what, if you paid it, it's fair. If you didn't think it was fair, you wouldn't have paid it. The same applies to trade. Either you take a price, or you don't...
nyoped said:
since when the word "corporate" and the phrase "free market" can be used interchangeably? Can someone explain to me why having corporate lobbies in White House is good for a free market economy? And how come an author who writes about politics and economy does not know what fair trade means?

It is funny that corporate propagandists try to present themselves as free market advocates.
Hank Williams said:
"New Hampshire Republican front runner John McCain, meanwhile, would likely maintain the status quo, suggesting that he might support the extension of the Bush tax cuts."

Ah yes, cut taxes while simultaneously plunging my grand children's grand children into a generation that has to pay an 80% tax rate to cover the Iraq War.

You're right, that's definitely pro business.
Brian said:
This is well reasoned analysis; I don't get how he is "anti-labor" when he is describing trends and not advocating one way or another.

One can only fault his zealous use of parentheses...

That type of hackery and superficial reading on the part of T. is what I go to Fox News for, not SAI.
Henry Blodget said:
We were so excited when we received Ayn's resume...

I don't think Jonathan's anti-labor. Even we raging liberals are beginning to get sick of all the business-bashing, though.

togilvie said:
Whoa. I see Ayn Rand has now joined the staff. Is there a way to block commentary from the "raving conservative" and keep this site about tech business? I can go to Fox news when I need my pro-business/anti-labor fix.

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