Analyst: 70% Chance For MSFT-YHOO Deal
Like others before him, Stifel Nicolaus analyst George Askew walks through the odds of a MSFT-YHOO deal going through and concludes that there's a 70% chance it happens -- either at MSFT's current bid or at a higher price. The math:
1. MSFT succeeds in its current bid (30% chance);See Also: Handicapping the YHOO-MSFT Scenarios
2. MSFT wins with a higher $32 bid (40% chance);
3. MSFT wins, deal blocked, stock to $25 (10% chance);
4. Competing takeover offer at $34 (10% chance);
5. Yahoo! stays independent, stock to $23 (10% chance).
1 Comment
Drew Robertson
said:
Feb. 07, 4:21 PM
So it's a +$30 stock (risk adjusted)....a bargain at 29.04
